{"id":16668,"date":"2024-10-04T08:16:42","date_gmt":"2024-10-04T12:16:42","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.batirente.com\/?p=16668"},"modified":"2024-10-18T11:28:50","modified_gmt":"2024-10-18T15:28:50","slug":"markets-at-a-glance-q3-2024","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.batirente.com\/en\/markets-at-a-glance-q3-2024\/","title":{"rendered":"Markets at a glance"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>To help you better understand the performance of funds presented in your quarterly statement, B\u00e2tirente\u2019s Investment Strategy Manager, Jean-Fran\u00e7ois Dumais*, shares the economic and market highlights of 2024\u2019s third quarter.<\/strong><\/p>\n<h3><strong>ECONOMY<\/strong><\/h3>\n<p><strong>Inflation<\/strong>: In Canada, the inflation rate dropped from a high of 8.1% in summer 2022 to 2.0% by August 31, 2024. The US also saw a dip in their rate, from 9.1% at its peak to 2.5% for the same period.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Key interest rates<\/strong>: Since June 2024, the Bank of Canada has lowered its key interest rate by 0.25% on three occasions, causing it to decrease from 5.0% to 4.25%.<\/p>\n<p>In the US, it was somewhat surprising that the Fed (US Federal Reserve) brought its key interest rate down by 0.50% in September. The combination of a major decrease and rising unemployment led to this decision. Further decreases are expected, although the Fed will surely want to avoid having inflation rise again if rates drop too drastically and quickly.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Recession<\/strong>: We\u2019ve already noticed a substantial slowdown in Canada\u2019s economic growth. Year-on-year growth in gross domestic product (GDP) was 1.5%, compared with 4.6% in the summer of 2022. If a recession were to happen in Canada, it would likely be weaker given the strong Canadian population growth (immigration), which helps stimulate the economy. What&#8217;s more, the rate-cutting cycle may probably help the Canadian economy.<\/p>\n<p>We\u2019ve also witnessed a slowing of the American economy, even if many investors believe that a recession will be avoided. That&#8217;s why the rate-cutting cycle started in Canada after a three-month delay.<\/p>\n<h3><strong>MARKETS<\/strong><\/h3>\n<p><strong>Equity<\/strong>: The economic conditions described above led to very positive results.<\/p>\n<p>The all-country equity index recorded a return of 5.3% (in Canadian dollars). In contrast with the first two quarters of 2024, where increases were overwhelmingly attributed to the artificial intelligence realm, most sectors and securities contributed positively in the third quarter.<\/p>\n<p>The global small cap equity index also performed quite strongly (8.2% in Canadian dollars), as did Canada\u2019s main index (S&amp;P\/TSX), which posted an excellent return of 10.5%.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Bonds<\/strong>: We saw bond yields decline dramatically, as market players predict additional easing (key rate cut) by central banks and an economic slowdown. In response, the FTSE Canadian Universe Bond Index had a very positive return of 4.5%.<\/p>\n<h3><strong>OUTLOOK FOR 2024\u20132025<\/strong><\/h3>\n<p><strong>Balance<\/strong>: The market is predicting several more central bank cuts in 2024 and 2025, driving investors to expect that the right balance will be struck between economic growth and inflation.<\/p>\n<p><em>*Jean-Fran\u00e7ois Dumais has worked as an Investment Strategy Manager at B\u00e2tirente since 2019. Along with a Master of Business Administration (MBA) degree (Finance specialization). He has over 20 years\u2019 experience in financial markets.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>To help you better understand the performance of funds presented in your quarterly statement, B\u00e2tirente\u2019s Investment Strategy Manager, Jean-Fran\u00e7ois Dumais, shares the economic and market highlights of 2024\u2019s third quarter.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":9104,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_et_pb_use_builder":"off","_et_pb_old_content":"","_et_gb_content_width":"","inline_featured_image":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[25],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-16668","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-your-money"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.3 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Markets at a glance - 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